International Politics

[Nintex]

There's already memes



The body has been found, he is now confirmed dead by the Russian authorities.

Wagner in St. Petersburg has put up a cross

While I'd love to see a civil war in Russia, I don't want to see a civil war in Russia. Shit is scary.

I think if Wagner makes a move it'll be at individuals in the Russian army that worked against them (Shoigu, Gerasimov, maybe Putin etc. ).
I don't think they have the capacity or ability to dismantle the state. Prigozhins coup wasn't really a coup against Putin but an attempt to unseat Shoigu/Gerasimov by showing the dissatisfaction in the army. People forget that Prigozhin specifically stated that Ukraine was in the process of breaking through the Russian lines. However that didn't happen as Ukraine wasn't strong enough to take advantage of the chaos on the Russian side. What spooked both Putin and Prigozhin the most is that most units didn't really care and no one wanted to fight. Prigozhin was hoping that the troops would join him on his 'march to Moscow' but instead they just let them pass. It wasn't until he got closer to Moscow that the Rosgvardia was mounting a serious defense and started to block roads and bridges. While Prigozhin tried to get others like Kadyrov to side with him, none did when the moment was there to act. 

Since the "coup" the Russians have started to win the battles at the front again and Zelensky's counter attack failed handing Russia plenty of burned out NATO tanks to display. In some places like Kharkiv the Ukrainian front is actually being pushed back. At home Putin decided to give the Rosgvardia more heavy weapons in case any military faction threatens his rule again. Russia also received some very favorable economic numbers, their GDP exceeding that of Germany claiming a position of 5th largest economy in the world. So if you are an oligarch or FSB officer with any power, business is good and you won't side with a PMC on a revenge mission. But as we know from the coup, they won't stand in the way either.