12-06-2023, 11:44 PM
It's over and they know it, only Zelensky still believes they can win.
The reality is EU/US aren't delivering nearly enough weapons for any new offensive and aren't producing nearly enough shells to meet demand.
Russia's economy is growing while Europe is stagnating. Russia has more mindless peasants that can drive tanks over mines than Ukraine does.
Zelensky has now ordered new defenses to be built all along the front but they should've started that work months ago.
The commander of the armed forces Zaluzhny has overtaken him in opinion polls and Klitschko and others also side with Zaluzhny seeing the writing on the wall.
Zelensky now faces a choice, listen to Zaluzhny or fire him and put a general in place willing to launch new offensives.
Ukraine also isn't having a great relationship with their neighbours. Polish truckers blocking borders, their cheap grain exports banned by most of Europe.
And Putin is no longer a pariah on the world stage.
If the Russians don't launch a massive bloody attack on urban centers we'll probably see the US start negotiations early next year. Better to have some sort of controlled dissolution of the Ukrainian state (think West/East Ukraine) than having Putin take it all on his terms. China will also want Russia to end the war because their economy is going down the drain fast and they have the least to gain from all this.
Oh and Africa will finally get what they so desperately wanted, no more meddling from the west as right-wing nationalist governments in Europe will finally end the mass migration and development aid. They can rejoice as Erdogan and Putin will control their food supply. In the best case scenario though Europe will forge stronger ties with its traditional allies (US, India, Japan, UK, Canada, Australia) and hopefully stop trying to be the sugar daddy of Hamas 'freedom fighters' and the climate cult.