United States Politics: ∆τ_i*ε*φ*m_i<0 where ε=4 and φ=0.25

[PhoenixDark]

During the debate we will finally be able to see how they perform head to head and they will have a chance to define their campaigns.
With no walls to build or pandemics to solve, both have so far done a terrible job with their campaign messages.

Overall It'll be an election between old money (banks, corporations, hollywood, defense contractors) vs. new money (AI, crypto, tech, hedgefunds, influencers) and I think the latter currently has the momentum and will spend whatever it takes to get Trump back in the White House.

I don't think the polls are wrong. When before it was just the fringes like InfoWars and Breitbart, now nearly every independent media outlet including the Joe Rogan Experience has turned into a campaign vehicle for Trump as have all the Crypto accounts, TikTok and X. And CNN doesn't really have the power anymore to cancel Logan Paul for hanging out with Trump.

With regards to the latest news about Biden, I don't believe he's going to Camp David for 7 days to prep for the debate. 
It is more likely that Israel is about to attack Lebanon and there are no good options left.
1. Soft coup Bibi (could backfire and put a more hawkish leader in place instead)
2. Give Israel what it needs (would make the Hamas caucus very angry, risk a bigger war as Iran would support Hezbollah)
3. Don't give Israel what it needs (risk putting Israel at risk of a counter attack from Hezbollah, Hamas and Iran)
4. Intervene militarily (end up in another quackmire, risk an even bigger war with Hezbollah, Hamas and Iran)

It's ultimately the same problem though, on a bigger scale. They simply expanded their media bubble and make it self sustaining without fear of "cancellation." All fine and dandy if there was any integrity or intent to hold people accountable just enough to prevent the endless grifts that all these people are pimping. Yet they won't do that because it's just one big grift. From the lower level doom prep items and "buy gold now" ads to paying Charlie Kirk for GOTV. Trump barely has any offices in most states, if any. His daughter-in-law is running money shit at the RNC to ensure it's funneled to him and his people. And republicans declined the more expensive, effective October/November ad spaces, ceding virtually all of them to Biden. 

I think this shit is gonna be a disaster and when it blows up the bubble is going to shift back to the 2021 grift (election reform, courts, etc) while refusing to admit they all let Trump rob them blind and drive the train into the ocean.

I could be wrong obviously. Maybe Trump wins. He can with the right circumstances. But where we stand right now I think Biden is ahead and has too many ground advantages in MI/WI/PA.