United States Politics: ∆τ_i*ε*φ*m_i<0 where ε=4 and φ=0.25

[Nintex]

I imagine it's going to be the turnout run up massively in the safe Blue States like California and New York when they mailed everyone ballots.

That's what I figured too. No need to go out and vote in a blue state when it all hinges on 7 swing states. 

While I was confident I knew Trump would win for sure only a few days ago when I talked to someone in a red state on a video call. She was a Kamala supporter and considering all the DEI stuff in our contract with that company I didn't want to go full MAGA but I was wondering how she felt about the election. Anyway she was nervous because in that red state, it was Trump everywhere but she was confident of a Kamala win based on her bubble.

According to her the result would either be "very close" like the polls which of course meant a path to court cases, Trump not winning the popular vote and whatnot. She didn't say this out loud but that is what those on the left mostly said would happen in case Trump won. The second outcome would be Obama-like numbers for Kamala and she was really convinced this would happen based on what she had seen in the media and that the polls were pro Trump. Looking at ResetEra and Reddit everyone on the left felt the same way. Mostly because the minorities would vote for Kamala because they'd be deported otherwise.

On the right though the vibe was different. Whenever someone on X said: "Trump has this in the bag" based on a poll or whatever folks would immediately jump on it with: 
"Don't be complacent bro, go vote, bring 10 people with you to vote. Vote early!"

But I've been watching this political alignment for a while and even if there is a right wing bubble they are very much aware of what is going on with the left. On the left no such understanding of the right exists. The biggest example of this is has to be the Madison Square Garden Rally. The left thought it would not motivate the base but turn them away. Even if Trump pulled a massive rally in the middle of a blue fortress. What they had seen was not comedy, Elon Musk turning Super Saiyan, WWE intros and Trump proving once and for all that neo-cons had no place anymore in the Republican party but a racist and Elon Musk being "stupid". In fact, they thought it would help their case against Trump, so they aired it uneditted on every news channel. "Hahaha, look at these idiots and racists having fun! Surely you'd rather slurp your soy slop and fill out an Excel sheet in your cubicle and discuss your performance with HR". And I have to say, I was worried that a lot of people were fine with the latter, as they were for a while (especially when COVID hit).

The role of woke in culture and media has also been underestimated. It is true that people being pissed that Lara Croft looks ugly, Star Wars is woke or the Joker got raped isn't going to swing an entire election but those games and movies are consumed by millions of people. Plus the liberals also like to show off the deep connection between hollywood, woke and the White House, especially this administration. 

So even if you don't think the inflation or wars can end or don't even care about any of that, maybe you do believe Trump can reduce censorship, boost your crypto or restore the right to say retard again and that is also fine.

Trump in the end is just a figurehead of a much larger movement of people who want great things and want to achieve great things.