United States Politics: ∆τ_i*ε*φ*m_i<0 where ε=4 and φ=0.25

[Cauliflower Of Love]

Please speak up


-generic aide

[Nintex]

Trump is happy with the polls

[benji]

Why are so many America First people convinced America is weak and pathetic and can't help but lose globally?

[Potato]

Uncle Rupert going to make Trump pay

[benji]

[Sman]

Why are so many America First people convinced America is weak and pathetic and can't help but lose globally?

Psychological projection.

[Puffy Fucking Baby]

They got too used to always winning under Trump, some may even have got tired of all the winning

[Nintex]

Thank you all for watching patriots  

[Nintex]

Chad Cruz

[BIONIC]

[Cauliflower Of Love]

They can't tell us what to do with their regulations.


I can't drink a beer live.

GG

[Nintex]

Democrats: "Let's arrest Trump so he'll never be President again"

Donald J. Trump:

[Nintex]

Vic Berger fellas, now who dares to say that we ain't back?

[Nintex]

[PhoenixDark]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/EWErickson/status/1697992921948053980

[/tweet]

Yes it's early and nobody is gonna have an obituary written right now. But DeSantis looks bad. A week since his "dominating debate performance," according to his supporters. Days into his "commanding hurricane response," according to his supporters. They keep trying to create a DeSantis Moment and it's not happening. I've said Trump should debate and stand by that, however one of the benefits of not debating is that he prevents that moment from happening for DeSantis. 

I also agree that it was a mistake to launch a campaign online. His entire campaign seems obsessed with online shit no one cares about. It's not a coincidence that trans shit didn't come up in that debate, or that "woke" wasn't mentioned much if at all. In the real world, that is not a major concern of voters. Too bad DeSantis has spent the last two years talking about that exclusively. Trump got crucified by right wingers for dismissing the anti-trans, anti-woke shit but he was clearly right. That's NOT what is driving Americans.

[Nintex]

DeSantis is in a death spiral and all the extreme right wing agitators flocked to the DeSantis campaign. There's also Neo-Nazi groups happy with Bidens support for the war in Ukraine and angry that Trump doesn't support it. 

There's a reason why Trump says that he's against not just the marxists and communists but the fascists too. 
I do expect DeSantis will do better than expected in some primary contests as not everyone is happy that Trump is reforming the party and he created a space for people like Vivek and Loomer let alone the gangster rappers and latino's. 

Some DeSantis backers are already saying they'd rather go down with DeSantis as their nominee to protect their 'values' than to win with Trump.

[benji]

all the extreme right wing agitators flocked to the DeSantis campaign

Trump is reforming the party and he created a space for people like Vivek and Loomer let alone the gangster rappers and latino's.

[benji]

   

[Nintex]

They're really getting worried now

And they should

[benji]

Spoiler:  (click to show)(click to hide)

[benji]

If only some people had written about this tendency with the state...

[PhoenixDark]

holy shit

[Nintex]

The problem for DeSantis is that Trump enjoys trashing him way too much.

[Potato]

If he had a personality he could fight back, but...

[Nintex]

holy shit

[tweet]https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1699363044109783373?t=26odtTxglGL7UcasOZsx4w&s=19[/tweet]

Comeback kid

[PhoenixDark]

Resistance brigade running into the pollgod's buzzsaw. General election polls are largely meaningless right now. What does matter is primary polling, specifically on the state level. Trump is way ahead nationally as we've seen. State polling for Iowa/NH/SC/etc are a bit closer but overall mirrors the national numbers. Like we've said, what's gonna happen to change that? Nothing DeSantis does on his own can change it. He has to slay the dragon.

[benji]

I'm so glad Mueller She Wrote didn't quit Twitter forever like she promised, somebody needs to hold these Putin pollsters feet to the fire.

[Nintex]

That 51/31 is for Biden/Trump in California and that is not bad for Trump at this stage.

In 2016 the split was 61.73% / 31.62%.
In 2020 it was 63.48% / 34.32% (with the mail-in ballot/Social Media censorship/COVID advantage).

Even if Trump is down 3% compared to 2020 he can afford those results in California (basically the margin of error).
However, Biden is down 12%(!) in a deep blue state. If ~10% of the electorate abandons him in key battleground states too (or simply doesn't turn out), Trump wins easily.

If Trump lost 3% overall, the gap would be ~1 - 2 million for the popular vote between them (in favor of Biden).
That is half the gap between Hillary and Trump in 2016 (~3 million).

It's important for the Democrats to find out why 10% of the electorate has jumped ship but that would probably be something like the one-issue COVID voters or anti-war voters.

[benji]

That 51/31 is for Biden/Trump in California and that is not bad for Trump at this stage.

In 2016 the split was 61.73% / 31.62%.
In 2020 it was 63.48% / 34.32% (with the mail-in ballot/Social Media censorship/COVID advantage).

Even if Trump is down 3% compared to 2020 he can afford those results in California (basically the margin of error).
However, Biden is down 12%(!) in a deep blue state. If ~10% of the electorate abandons him in key battleground states too (or simply doesn't turn out), Trump wins easily.

If Trump lost 3% overall, the gap would be ~1 - 2 million for the popular vote between them (in favor of Biden).
That is half the gap between Hillary and Trump in 2016 (~3 million).

It's important for the Democrats to find out why 10% of the electorate has jumped ship but that would probably be something like the one-issue COVID voters or anti-war voters.

Remember to use clean needles for your copium.

[Nintex]

This interview is insane, Trump's gonna be pissed when it gets more views than his.