United States Politics: ∆τ_i*ε*φ*m_i<0 where ε=4 and φ=0.25

[Nintex]

Something has Trump worried enough that he's going to Iowa again.

[Gamegirl Nostalgia]

Trump showing he loves the people of Iowa no matter the weather. 

[Puffy Fucking Baby]

Hopefully he brings gallons upon gallons of the beautiful and safe to drink lemonade, that we all love and miss, with him

[Nintex]

I think Ron is just going to shoot himself when all this is over, jesus christ. 

[Nintex]

Anime betrayal

[PhoenixDark]

I don't know why you would think he wouldn't win Iowa, he's at ~55% and Haley hasn't cracked 20% and there's barely any momentum compared to soaking up the people dropping out instead of DeSantis. NH is the closer one and less favorable Trump territory to begin with.

Polling caucuses is more difficult, sure, but not a 35 point margin difficult:
2020: 23/19/17/16 Sanders/Biden/Buttigieg/Warren on RCP vs. 25/21/19/15 Sanders/Buttigieg/Warren/Biden result.
2016: 26/24/18 Trump/Cruz/Rubio aggregate on 538 vs. 28/24/23 Cruz/Trump/Rubio result.
2012: 23/22/16/14 Romney/Paul/Santorum/Gingrich on RCP vs. 25/25/21/13 Santorum/Romney/Paul/Gingrich result.
2008: 31/29/26 Obama/Clinton/Edwards on RCP vs. 38/30/29 Obama/Edwards/Clinton result.
2008: 30/27/12/12 Huckabee/Romney/McCain/Thompson on RCP vs. 34/25/13/13 Huckabee/Romney/Thompson/McCain result.
The polls also showed the momentum for Buttigieg, Warren, Santorum, Rubio and Huckabee before away from the national frontrunners.

We probably have to go back to 1984 or earlier before finding a candidate polling at 50% or with a 20+ point lead in Iowa.

Looks like it would take a major polling science collapse to get this wrong. The weather just might be the thing to do that though, which is why I can't call it.

[Gamegirl Nostalgia]

any update on democrat front runner cenk uygur?

[PhoenixDark]

[Nintex]

Trump is dominating Iowa, seems like he just wanted to remove any doubts voters might have.

[Nintex]

There you have it.

#GamersForTrump

[Nintex]

 

Well the Iowa Caucus has officially been Trumped

[benji]

[Gamegirl Nostalgia]

Jeb! has more charisma than DeSantis. 

[PhoenixDark]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1747063616455553259?s=20

[/tweet]

65% believe Biden stole the election as well lol.

[Gamegirl Nostalgia]

Trump projected winner. Surprise, surprise. 

[PhoenixDark]

[Gamegirl Nostalgia]

 Imagine betting against the Don.

[PhoenixDark]

That man is probably 60 years old, has seen multiple elections and still doesn't get how this works lmao. If you get an early call it's because it's a blowout and the outstanding votes are from districts/counties/cities that heavily favor one candidate. It's a blowout. And sounds like DeSantis might not come in second either lmao....

[Gamegirl Nostalgia]

[PhoenixDark]

went from DeSantis is going to win Iowa to Iowa doesn't matter folks.

[Gamegirl Nostalgia]

Sore losers. Ron DeSanctimonious had no chance.

[who is ted danson?]

STOP THE COUNT

[Puffy Fucking Baby]

Congratulations Nintex

[Gamegirl Nostalgia]

Your reminder that Nintex is never wrong. 

[Gamegirl Nostalgia]

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/15/us/politics/vivek-ramaswamy-drops-out.html

Vivek Ramaswamy, Wealthy Political Novice Who Aligned With Trump, Quits Campaign
A self-funding entrepreneur, Mr. Ramaswamy peaked in late August but deflated under attack from his rivals. He endorsed Donald J. Trump after dropping out after the Iowa caucuses.

Kiss the ring.  

[Nintex]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/CitizenFreePres/status/1747115558380654670?t=4v6O6B5a37-aeY5Y-UjnbA&s=19[/tweet]
[tweet]https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1747108718192300083?t=97_b0x6ratWb0YKQG1aRNQ&s=19[/tweet]

[chronovore]

Time to turn Iowa into a sea of glass.

[benji]

[Nintex]

Trump and Vivek 

That's going to be a riot.

I still think Carson will be Trumps VP though even if Melania wants Tucker.

[Nintex]

JP Morgan CEO for Trump