United States Politics: ∆τ_i*ε*φ*m_i<0 where ε=4 and φ=0.25

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[Nintex]

Looking at the numbers the early vote numbers are lower and the Democrat ballot returns are lagging behind compared to 2020. In some states the Republicans are even ahead.
Plus if the polls are accurate the independents favor Trump.

It's quite something how Trump is more in tune with where the young men voters are and the Kamala campaign gives off the "how do you do fellow kids vibes" the Republicans usually had.
And it's all thanks to the media diet of Barron Trump the unofficial campaign manager.

[tweet]https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1850326584537858393?t=CrjBv_Fz6jbAN0VU2AmH1A&s=19[/tweet]

[Polident]

I can’t burn through long podcasts anymore. But the three interesting bits of the Trump on Rogan one.

First, Trump had a black and white print out of a chart he hands Joe. Right away Joe’s people found the same chart and put it on screen. It was like the second google image result for the topic.

Second, Trump openly talks about disagreement with those he’s working with on certain positions. Like with Kennedy on environmental, or Elon on nuclear energy.

Three, Joe was stoked to hear Trump call pilots as handsome as Tom Cruise but taller.

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[Uncle]

I can’t burn through long podcasts anymore. But the three interesting bits of the Trump on Rogan one.

First, Trump had a black and white print out of a chart he hands Joe. Right away Joe’s people found the same chart and put it on screen. It was like the second google image result for the topic.

Second, Trump openly talks about disagreement with those he’s working with on certain positions. Like with Kennedy on environmental, or Elon on nuclear energy.

Three, Joe was stoked to hear Trump call pilots as handsome as Tom Cruise but taller.

what was interesting was how he's always really generically and transparently manipulative/enthusiastic about everything, "great people, marvelous people," but on two points he couldn't hide some really definitive views:

- he wants to make america great again through tariffs, like, tunnel vision on how amazingly awesome tariffs are

- he fucking hates environmental stuff and wants absolute deregulation of all of that, basically no matter what/where

was kinda surprised on the second one, there wasn't really any "oh yeah there has to be balance, the environment is important too" fence sitting, no the man fucking hates nature

[Polident]

In general, he’s pretty paranoid about nuclear. More so weapons, but he sees attempts at energy facilitating weaponry.

It’s not exactly a position democrats are for either. But again, his allies are pro nuclear energy.

[dontasemebr0]

It's quite something how Trump is more in tune with where the young men voters are and the Kamala campaign gives off the "how do you do fellow kids vibes" the Republicans usually had.
And it's all thanks to the media diet of Barron Trump the unofficial campaign manager.

So Barron is better than Ivanka?

[Nintex]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1850561768596095072?t=1FRn5afTNdE0SKx9Ayo7kQ&s=19[/tweet]

I kinda feel bad for Kamala, usually Trump fucks up every 3 - 5 days and then has to regain ground. But for some reason he has been steadily MAGA'ing, not picking silly fights with the Pope or something.

[who is ted danson?]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1850561768596095072?t=1FRn5afTNdE0SKx9Ayo7kQ&s=19[/tweet]

I kinda feel bad for Kamala, usually Trump fucks up every 3 - 5 days and then has to regain ground. But for some reason he has been steadily MAGA'ing, not picking silly fights with the Pope or something.

threatening to nuke vatican city would be great press fodder though, and a great mission plotline for next years COD

[Nintex]

The Trump New York Rally is absolutely off the chain.

- Bimbo Lawyer
- Hulk Hogan
- Tucker Carlson
- Bobby Jr.
- Kill Tony
- Elon Musk
- Rudy

I think the Trump campaign has officially jumped the shark but I don't think Trump cares anymore. 

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I'm fascinated by how easily people just pick up and repeat talking points. Like do they really believe there's only ever been one political rally at MSG? The RNC was there just a decade ago. With DICK CHENEY.

[dontasemebr0]

AOC playing Harvest Moon

[Uncle]

I remembered kamala was supposedly campaigning on "joy" and was looking at the last few weeks comparing the two parties...man the republicans sure seem to be having a lot more fun?

I looked up kamala joy campaign to see what the heck happened

https://time.com/7018346/kamala-harris-joy-campaign-benefits-essay/

Don’t Underestimate Kamala Harris’ Good Vibes Only Campaign

Kamala Harris’ presidential run against Donald Trump is nearing its final act. And while Trump has repeatedly threatened to undermine democracy and leveled vicious personal attacks against her, throughout the campaign so far, the public seen never seen Harris get mad—in fact, she’s full of joy. Her campaign is playfully tapping into the latest social media trends and memes. And rather than complaining and insulting people like Donald Trump, she’s laughing and smiling on the campaign trail. “The thing we like about hard work is we have fun doing hard work,” she told autoworkers in Michigan.

Pundits have largely interpreted this as a classic expression of Black joy—a form of incredible resilience in the face of the ugly challenges Black people have long faced in the U.S.—or complained that joy can’t substitute for smart policies (true).

But Harris’ campaign has never suggested joy is a policy. It’s a political strategy, and we’re radically underestimating just how smart it is. Adopting a joyful approach has simultaneously highlighted Trump’s biggest weaknesses (his age and cantankerousness), taken the spotlight off him and possibly endeared Harris to the majority of Americans who’ve had enough of our country’s uncivilized politics. It has also deprived Trump of the easiest line of attack he’d otherwise have against Harris—the same attack that Trump had against democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in 2016: the contention that she’s crazy. Expressing rage would allow him to portray Harris as such.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2024/08/30/democrats-nazi-slogan-joy-fact-check/75014101007/

No, Democrats are not using a Nazi slogan in campaign | Fact check

The claim: Democrats are using the Nazi slogan 'Strength Through Joy'
An Aug. 16 Instagram post (direct link, archive link) from actor Robert Davi includes a link to the Wikipedia entry for “Strength Through Joy” and a video.

“’Strength Through Joy’ was a Nazi slogan from 1933 all the way through the whole World War II,” Davi says in the video. “Think about that, read about it. I’m giving you the Wiki post, it says some information about it. Strength Through Joy. The Democratic Party’s slogan.”

The video was liked more than 17,000 times in two weeks.

Our rating: False
While joy has been a theme in Vice President Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign and at the Democratic National Convention, “Strength Through Joy” has not become a slogan for her or the Democratic Party.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/24/kamala-harris-campaign-joy-fascism-tone/75820210007/

The joy is over. As election nears, Kamala Harris tone goes dark

Gone is the joy. In it's place, rising alarm.

Vice President Kamala Harris has taken an increasingly fatalist approach to campaigning that centers on the threat she says former President Donald Trump would present to democracy if he returns to office.

"He's going to sit there unstable, unhinged, plotting his revenge, plotting his retribution, creating an enemies list," she said Wednesday evening during a town hall on CNN.

Harris referred to Trump as a "fascist" during the town hall, echoing comments made by his former chief of staff John Kelly in an interview this week, and hit him for reportedly praising aspects of Hitler's leadership, also according to Kelly.

Standing outside the vice president’s mansion at the Naval Observatory in Washington earlier in the day, Harris warned that Trump “is increasingly unhinged and unstable” and said “people like John Kelly would not be there to be the guardrail against his propensities and his actions" in a second term.

[Nintex]

Trumps closing campaign message is Dream Big Again.
Kamalas closing argument is Trump is Hitler



I think it all comes down to what the people want. 
Do they want to stick with the ideas of white people bad, degrowth and not stepping on toes or do they want to dance the YMCA as the rockets fly to Mars.

The last thing the progressives want is for Trump to create some kind of high tech capitalist utopia with a 15% tax rate that takes care of its enemies the way Israel got rid of Hamas.
The mistake the Democrats are making is that they are still campaiging against 2020 Trump, which was 25% MAGA and 75% Republican establishment and Neocons.

In recent months he has created an entirely different coalition of allies and voters with the help of Elon Musk and others.

Pence and some other Republicans actually warned about this (that the party no longer stood for conservative values) but they simply got drowned out in the media.

[TylenolJones]

I'm fascinated by how easily people just pick up and repeat talking points. Like do they really believe there's only ever been one political rally at MSG? The RNC was there just a decade ago. With DICK CHENEY.

If they didn’t want to be called nazis, they shouldn’t have had the rally where the New York KKKnicks play!

[Nintex]

[Nintex]

Finally a real october surprise.

[dontasemebr0]

[booomer]

Finally a real october surprise.

The fact it was a female was the surprise. That her last name was Wang, makes it less surprising.

[Nintex]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1851056149287850128?t=qObJjW2lZ7LVuR1vXtkZHA&s=19[/tweet]

Lmao

[Nintex]

[PhoenixDark]

Another bad day for Trump. I will post my final predictions tomorrow. 

[Nintex]

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[booomer]

Another bad day for Trump. I will post my final predictions tomorrow. 

Poor soul. They are losing CNN now.

https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1851443611725857029

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Thousands of Pennsylvania voters received a text message this weekend that falsely claimed that they had already voted in the Nov. 5 election.

“Records show you voted,” the text read, linking them to an official Pennsylvania website with information about polling places and early voting.

But the message did not come from an official government resource or a well-known get-out-the-vote advocacy group. Instead, it was signed by “AllVote,” a self-proclaimed voter-mobilization program that election officials have repeatedly flagged as a scam to be avoided and ignored.

If “AllVote” sounds familiar, the name has been linked to other confusion-sowing text campaigns in the lead-up to the election. Montgomery County officials in August warned voters about “AllVote.com” that was texting registered voters and falsely claiming that they were not registered to vote — part of a scam to “capture personal, sensitive information from voters in an attempt to exploit them later on,” election commissioners said.

Election officials in Arizona and North Carolina raised concerns about text campaigns from an organization with the same name in recent months.

On Monday, however, a representative from AllVote insisted that it was a misunderstanding.

Charlotte Clymer, a contracted spokesperson for AllVote, sent The Inquirer an apologetic statement, describing the texts as a well-intended reminder-turned-disastrous mistake, thanks to a typo committed by staffers.

“We are mortified by this mistake and the confusion it has caused,” the organization said in the statement.

Clymer described AllVote as “funded by progressive donors aiming to increase voting participation” but declined to provide details about the group’s backers. A political action committee with that name was registered this year. Yet little public information is available about AllVote, and its website lists no founder or staffers.

Clymer said the organization does not disclose its backers for fear of being targeted by the far-right. She also said that election officials and news reports that issued statements characterizing their recent efforts as phishing scams were incorrect.

“The vast majority of our messages only include official .gov links,” Clymer said in an email. “We’ve seen negative stories from elections offices coming out, even when we are just sending people to their website. For good reason, election officials are reacting quickly, but unfortunately, they aren’t always verifying their suspicions before they publish a press release (or reaching out to us).”